OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
13º
11º
28
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 65 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 58 |
2º
|
86.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 53 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 49 |
4º
|
48% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 48 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 40 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 37 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 36 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 36 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 30 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 23 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
80% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LEU
0 - 0
GEN
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 0
LEU
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GNK
2 - 0
LEU
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
BRU
3 - 0
LEU
57%
22%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
LEU
2 - 0
BEE
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AND
4 - 1
KVM
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
KVM
1 - 2
GNK
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CER
1 - 0
KVM
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
0 - 0
SDL
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
KVM
37%
24%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |