1. Liga round 20

Ogre United vs JFK Ventspils analysis

Ogre United JFK Ventspils
22 ELO 32
0.6% Tilt -3.3%
47014º General ELO ranking 49045º
168º Country ELO ranking 177º
ELO win probability
25.7%
Ogre United
21.8%
Draw
52.5%
JFK Ventspils

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
Ogre United
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.5%
Win probability
JFK Ventspils
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ogre United
+677%
+52%
JFK Ventspils

Points and table prediction

Ogre United
Their league position
JFK Ventspils
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
12º
11º
30
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SK Super Nova
65
65
100%
Rigas FS II
63
63
100%
JDFS Alberts
58
58
100%
Riga FC II
48
48
100%
Skanstes
41
41
100%
Valmiera II
34
34
100%
FK Mārupe
33
33
100%
Leevon PPK
31
31
100%
JFK Ventspils
10º
30
30
100%
AFA Olaine
30
30
10º
100%
Ogre United
11º
29
29
11º
100%
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Smiltene
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Rezekne
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ogre United
JFK Ventspils
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ogre United
JFK Ventspils
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ogre United
Ogre United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2024
TUK
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
2 - 0
Ogre United
OUD
82%
11%
7%
20 40 20 0
31 Aug. 2024
OUD
Ogre United
1 - 2
Rigas FS II
RIG
16%
21%
64%
20 60 40 0
23 Aug. 2024
FSL
Leevon PPK
1 - 1
Ogre United
OUD
67%
17%
15%
20 30 10 0
17 Aug. 2024
ALB
JDFS Alberts
3 - 1
Ogre United
OUD
74%
17%
10%
20 61 41 0
10 Aug. 2024
SKA
Skanstes
1 - 0
Ogre United
OUD
76%
15%
9%
20 54 34 0

Matches

JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2024
KFV
JFK Ventspils
2 - 3
FK Mārupe
MAR
33%
22%
45%
35 37 2 0
31 Aug. 2024
SMI
Smiltene
0 - 2
JFK Ventspils
KFV
60%
18%
22%
33 32 1 +2
18 Aug. 2024
VAL
Valmiera II
1 - 2
JFK Ventspils
KFV
78%
14%
8%
32 52 20 +1
11 Aug. 2024
KFV
JFK Ventspils
4 - 0
Rezekne
RFA
35%
21%
43%
30 30 0 +2
02 Aug. 2024
KFV
JFK Ventspils
0 - 1
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
TUK
26%
21%
53%
31 38 7 -1