Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
OFK Beograd vs Göztepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 1
BEO
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
BEO
1 - 0
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
BEO
6 - 1
RAP
52%
22%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1968 |
RAP
3 - 1
BEO
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
3 - 0
BEO
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Göztepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
BJK
1 - 1
GOZ
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1969 |
GOZ
3 - 1
ANK
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
ESK
1 - 0
GOZ
46%
27%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
GOZ
1 - 0
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
GOZ
0 - 0
GAL
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |