OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
7º
7º
40
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 58 |
2º
|
68% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 51 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 50 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 48 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 45 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 43 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 41 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 31 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 31 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 29 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 21 |
15º
|
57% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 15 |
16º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
76% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
BEO
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
BEO
2 - 2
VOZ
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VOJ
2 - 1
BEO
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 1
FKS
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
BEO
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 5
FCB
9%
15%
76%
|
82 | 99 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CRV
3 - 0
VOJ
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 7
CRV
15%
19%
66%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 5
CRV
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
MON
5 - 1
CRV
71%
18%
12%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | -1 |