Offenburger FV vs TSV Essingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
16º
18º
18º
46
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Offenburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
REU
4 - 0
OFF
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RAV
3 - 0
OFF
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
OFF
3 - 1
FCH
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
OFF
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 1
NOT
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 2
RAV
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 2
TSV
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 1
NOR
14%
18%
68%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 1
TSV
94%
4%
2%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 1
SGS
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |