Oeste vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 0
OES
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 0
OES
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
OES
0 - 2
JEC
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
OES
1 - 0
PAY
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
OES
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 1
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
0 - 1
CHA
30%
29%
42%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 3
AVA
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 1
ARN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
0 - 0
ABC
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |