Oberneuland vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.1%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.2%
2.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
11º
5º
33
4º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 9
FCN
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 7
MON
7%
15%
78%
|
40 | 85 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TSS
1 - 4
OBE
9%
13%
78%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 3
SVH
53%
20%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 3
OBE
12%
15%
74%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
VAT
2 - 7
WER
8%
13%
79%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 1
VAT
36%
23%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 0
WOL
20%
19%
60%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 2
OSC
12%
15%
73%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WER
3 - 1
VAT
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -2 |