Oberliga Bremen round 12

Oberneuland vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis

Oberneuland SG Aumund-Vegesack
39 ELO 34
25.1% Tilt 31.5%
6835º General ELO ranking 7424º
252º Country ELO ranking 285º
ELO win probability
74.6%
Oberneuland
13.9%
Draw
11.5%
SG Aumund-Vegesack

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
Oberneuland
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.9%
11.5%
Win probability
SG Aumund-Vegesack
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oberneuland
-45%
-63%
SG Aumund-Vegesack

Points and table prediction

Oberneuland
Their league position
SG Aumund-Vegesack
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
11º
44
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Werder Bremen II
90
90
100%
SV Hemelingen
68
68
100%
OSC Bremerhaven
61
61
100%
SG Aumund-Vegesack
44
47
0%
Oberneuland
47
47
0%
Geestemünde
44
44
100%
Blumenthaler SV
42
42
0%
Union Bremen
42
42
0%
BTS Neustadt
39
39
100%
Vahr-Blockdiek
10º
33
33
10º
0%
TuRa Bremen
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Vatan Sport
12º
33
33
12º
0%
Woltmershausen
13º
32
32
13º
100%
Brinkumer SV
14º
32
32
14º
100%
Leher TS Bremerhaven
15º
29
29
15º
100%
TuS Komet Arsten
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Oberneuland
SG Aumund-Vegesack
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Oberneuland
SG Aumund-Vegesack
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oberneuland
Oberneuland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2023
OBE
Oberneuland
3 - 3
Leher TS Bremerhaven
LEH
90%
7%
3%
41 19 22 0
14 Oct. 2023
VAB
Vahr-Blockdiek
2 - 2
Oberneuland
OBE
18%
17%
65%
41 31 10 0
07 Oct. 2023
TKA
TuS Komet Arsten
0 - 4
Oberneuland
OBE
4%
9%
87%
40 15 25 +1
30 Sep. 2023
TRB
TuRa Bremen
1 - 3
Oberneuland
OBE
17%
16%
67%
39 26 13 +1
22 Sep. 2023
OBE
Oberneuland
0 - 4
Werder Bremen II
WER
32%
22%
46%
41 46 5 -2

Matches

SG Aumund-Vegesack
SG Aumund-Vegesack
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
SGA
SG Aumund-Vegesack
6 - 3
Brinkumer SV
BRI
58%
18%
24%
31 26 5 0
14 Oct. 2023
BTN
BTS Neustadt
4 - 1
SG Aumund-Vegesack
SGA
32%
22%
47%
33 28 5 -2
07 Oct. 2023
SGA
SG Aumund-Vegesack
1 - 5
SV Hemelingen
SVH
28%
22%
50%
34 40 6 -1
30 Sep. 2023
BLU
Blumenthaler SV
5 - 2
SG Aumund-Vegesack
SGA
28%
21%
51%
35 27 8 -1
23 Sep. 2023
SGA
SG Aumund-Vegesack
4 - 0
Leher TS Bremerhaven
LEH
84%
10%
6%
36 20 16 -1