Oberneuland vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.9%
11.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
11º
5º
44
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 3
LEH
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 2
OBE
18%
17%
65%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 4
OBE
4%
9%
87%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TRB
1 - 3
OBE
17%
16%
67%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 4
WER
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SGA
6 - 3
BRI
58%
18%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BTN
4 - 1
SGA
32%
22%
47%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 5
SVH
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BLU
5 - 2
SGA
28%
21%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SGA
4 - 0
LEH
84%
10%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |