Oberachern vs Denzlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
18º
10º
36
6º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
41% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VFR
1 - 2
OBE
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 2
PFO
30%
23%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 5
REU
63%
18%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 1
OBE
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 5
ATS
47%
21%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Denzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 2
FSV
21%
21%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ATS
2 - 2
DEN
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 3
GOP
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TSB
0 - 3
DEN
74%
14%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 1
VIL
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |