Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
14º
15º
23
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TIA
2 - 1
ALE
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 2
UDG
24%
27%
48%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
TAM
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
UAT
1 - 3
ALE
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 0
MER
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
CFC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
TAM
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
ATL
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
ZAC
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |