Apertura Ascenso MX round 1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atlante FC analysis

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Atlante FC
71 ELO 66
7.2% Tilt 5.1%
2645º General ELO ranking 649º
38º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
53.3%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
24.1%
Draw
22.6%
Atlante FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.6%
Win probability
Atlante FC
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-27%
+15%
Atlante FC

ELO progression

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Atlante FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2016
ALE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0 - 0
Celaya
TOR
62%
22%
17%
70 63 7 0
10 Apr. 2016
CAF
Cafetaleros
3 - 1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
ALE
37%
29%
34%
71 64 7 -1
03 Apr. 2016
ALE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 - 0
Deportivo Tepic
TEP
56%
24%
20%
70 69 1 +1
26 Mar. 2016
UAT
Correcaminos UAT
0 - 1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
ALE
36%
27%
37%
70 64 6 0
20 Mar. 2016
ALE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3 - 3
Zacatepec
CAÑ
66%
20%
14%
70 60 10 0

Matches

Atlante FC
Atlante FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2016
NEC
Necaxa
3 - 2
Atlante FC
ATL
50%
24%
26%
67 71 4 0
28 Apr. 2016
ATL
Atlante FC
1 - 2
Necaxa
NEC
38%
25%
37%
68 70 2 -1
24 Apr. 2016
TOR
Celaya
0 - 2
Atlante FC
ATL
39%
25%
36%
67 64 3 +1
21 Apr. 2016
ATL
Atlante FC
0 - 1
Celaya
TOR
54%
24%
23%
67 63 4 0
16 Apr. 2016
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 2
Mineros de Zacatecas
ZAC
48%
27%
25%
67 68 1 0