O Elvas vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
1º
23
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 47 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 43 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 38 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 35 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 34 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 30 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 24 |
12º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 23 |
13º
|
52% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
POM
0 - 1
OEL
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
OEL
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
OEL
1 - 0
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 2
OEL
10%
15%
75%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 3
OEL
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
MOR
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
SER
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
COI
0 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAR
24%
27%
50%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |