NZ Knights vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
SYD
4 - 0
NZK
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
NZK
1 - 0
BRI
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 4
MEL
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ADE
4 - 2
NZK
80%
15%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 0
NZK
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 1
CCM
36%
29%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
MEL
3 - 3
CCM
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 1
CCM
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
CCM
2 - 1
PER
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
CCM
3 - 1
SYD
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |