NY Cosmos vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NY Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 3
NER
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
NYC
0 - 1
NYC
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
NYC
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 0
JER
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
NYC
1 - 0
RAY
67%
20%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
OTT
1 - 1
RAY
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
VAN
3 - 0
OTT
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
OTT
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 0
VAN
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
OTT
1 - 2
FOR
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |