Nürnberg II vs Quelle Furth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
NUR
1 - 2
WUR
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
WAC
1 - 0
NUR
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
NUR
5 - 2
FEU
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
NUR
4 - 0
MEM
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
UNT
3 - 1
NUR
28%
27%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Quelle Furth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MEM
1 - 1
QUF
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
QUF
2 - 2
TSV
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
QUF
1 - 4
ING
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FUR
3 - 0
QUF
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
QUF
1 - 0
JRE
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |