Nürnberg II vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
16º
7º
23
9º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 68 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 68 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 44 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 35 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 33 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 24 |
17º
|
47.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NUR
3 - 1
WAC
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 3
NUR
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NUR
1 - 3
TAM
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 2
NUR
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NUR
0 - 2
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ANS
0 - 1
BAY
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
WAC
0 - 0
ANS
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANS
2 - 1
TSA
48%
23%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 2
ANS
18%
20%
62%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 0
ILL
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |