Regionalliga Bayern round 18

Nürnberg II vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis

Nürnberg II SpVgg Ansbach
56 ELO 48
15.6% Tilt 14.9%
3437º General ELO ranking 4725º
96º Country ELO ranking 150º
ELO win probability
63%
Nürnberg II
19.4%
Draw
17.7%
SpVgg Ansbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
Nürnberg II
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.7%
Win probability
SpVgg Ansbach
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nürnberg II
-17%
-4%
SpVgg Ansbach

Points and table prediction

Nürnberg II
Their league position
SpVgg Ansbach
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
16º
23
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München II
44
71
58.5%
Schweinfurt
45
66
26.5%
Würzburger Kickers
37
64
26.5%
Bayreuth SpVgg
42
63
23%
Illertissen
38
59
32.5%
Buchbach
36
54
37%
Greuther Fürth II
30
48
16.5%
SV Wacker Burghausen
30
48
15.5%
Nürnberg II
10º
26
47
14.5%
Aubstadt
28
46
10º
11%
SpVgg Ansbach
14º
23
41
11º
13.5%
FC Augsburg II
12º
25
40
12º
15%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
13º
25
39
13º
18%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
11º
26
38
14º
17%
Vilzing
16º
20
38
15º
20.5%
Hankofen-Hailing
15º
20
33
16º
31.5%
Eintracht Bamberg
17º
18
26
17º
47.5%
Türkgücü München
18º
13
25
18º
66.5%
Expected probabilities
Nürnberg II
SpVgg Ansbach
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
99% 80%
Relegation play-offs
0.5% 17%
Relegation
0.5% 3%

ELO progression

Nürnberg II
SpVgg Ansbach
FC Augsburg II
Vilzing
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nürnberg II
Nürnberg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
NUR
Nürnberg II
3 - 1
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
50%
24%
26%
55 55 0 0
22 Oct. 2024
TSA
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
0 - 3
Nürnberg II
NUR
27%
24%
49%
55 48 7 0
19 Oct. 2024
NUR
Nürnberg II
1 - 3
Türkgücü München
TAM
76%
15%
9%
56 41 15 -1
12 Oct. 2024
ILL
Illertissen
0 - 2
Nürnberg II
NUR
50%
23%
27%
54 57 3 +2
06 Oct. 2024
NUR
Nürnberg II
0 - 2
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
49%
24%
27%
55 55 0 -1

Matches

SpVgg Ansbach
SpVgg Ansbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
0 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
32%
25%
43%
49 57 8 0
22 Oct. 2024
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
0 - 0
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
53%
23%
25%
49 56 7 0
19 Oct. 2024
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
2 - 1
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
TSA
48%
23%
30%
48 48 0 +1
12 Oct. 2024
TAM
Türkgücü München
2 - 2
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
18%
20%
62%
48 39 9 0
06 Oct. 2024
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
1 - 0
Illertissen
ILL
30%
25%
44%
46 57 11 +2