Nürnberg II vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
FCP
0 - 5
NUR
17%
23%
61%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
NUR
4 - 0
BAY
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ISM
0 - 3
NUR
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
NUR
1 - 1
JRE
63%
19%
17%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
WEI
1 - 4
NUR
29%
26%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ANS
1 - 1
JRE
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
WEI
0 - 0
ANS
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
FUR
2 - 0
ANS
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ANS
0 - 3
BAY
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
WUR
0 - 3
ANS
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |