Cosenza vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 1
NUO
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 1
VIR
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GEL
1 - 3
NUO
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 0
FOL
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 2
PIS
17%
27%
57%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 0
GEL
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
USF
0 - 2
SIR
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SIR
0 - 0
VIR
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
SIR
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |