Cosenza vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
NUO
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 4
JUS
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 1
FIA
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
NUO
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 2
FON
48%
27%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 0
FON
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
USF
3 - 0
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAT
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
LEC
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
USV
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |