Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-8
Numancia vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
SAB
3 - 0
NUM
53%
25%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
NUM
1 - 0
CDU
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
ATL
3 - 0
NUM
48%
26%
27%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -3 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
NUM
5 - 1
ARN
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
ALF
0 - 2
NUM
45%
27%
29%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
SDA
0 - 6
ZAR
42%
27%
31%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
ZAR
1 - 0
BIN
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
CLH
2 - 2
ZAR
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
ZAR
2 - 0
TUD
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |