Numancia vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 1
NUM
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NUM
1 - 3
PON
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
NUM
30%
26%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAB
0 - 3
NUM
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BET
2 - 1
NUM
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 3
BET
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
GIR
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
GIR
0 - 0
CDT
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GIR
2 - 0
CDT
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
GIR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |