Numancia vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1997 |
NUM
2 - 0
REC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
REC
3 - 3
NUM
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1997 |
GIM
1 - 1
NUM
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
NUM
2 - 1
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
MAN
0 - 0
NUM
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1997 |
BAR
0 - 1
ELC
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
ELC
4 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
ELC
0 - 0
CCF
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
DEP
2 - 0
ELC
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
ELC
2 - 1
DEP
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |