Numancia vs CD Berceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
ADN
2 - 1
NUM
37%
28%
35%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
NUM
1 - 2
TER
54%
25%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
FRA
1 - 1
NUM
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
NUM
4 - 0
OBE
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
NUM
0 - 1
HUE
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Berceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
BER
3 - 2
HUE
33%
27%
41%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
SDA
2 - 1
BER
52%
26%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
BER
2 - 2
IZA
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
CLH
2 - 3
BER
65%
21%
15%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
BER
2 - 4
OSA
25%
27%
49%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |