Numancia de Ares vs Galicia de Caranza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
58.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia de Ares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CUL
3 - 0
NUM
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NUM
3 - 1
CCR
30%
22%
49%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
OZA
0 - 0
NUM
60%
19%
21%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NUM
2 - 0
CED
23%
21%
55%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 1
NUM
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Galicia de Caranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GAL
3 - 1
ASP
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SME
3 - 1
GAL
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 2
VAL
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
REL
3 - 2
GAL
14%
16%
70%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
TOR
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |