Ñublense vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COQ
2 - 2
NUB
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
4 - 2
NUB
14%
23%
62%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NUB
0 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
NUB
25%
26%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
NUB
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 2
CUR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 0
MAG
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 2
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 1
UCO
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |