Novorizontino vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PPE
1 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
AGU
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
16%
23%
62%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
MIR
16%
24%
61%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
8%
21%
71%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
18%
26%
56%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
AGU
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |