Novigrad vs Crikvenica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
KAR
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NEH
1 - 0
NOV
31%
23%
47%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
KRK
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
NKB
61%
19%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 1
NKC
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crikvenica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NKC
1 - 1
JAP
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
NKC
0 - 2
NKC
22%
21%
56%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
NKC
4 - 0
NKR
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NKC
0 - 0
NKG
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
VNV
0 - 1
NKC
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |