Novelda UCF vs Carrús UD Ilicitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+213%
+123%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
NUD
76%
16%
9%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NUD
1 - 2
RED
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NUD
2 - 3
IND
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 5
NUD
59%
21%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
NUD
1 - 1
ASP
16%
19%
66%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carrús UD Ilicitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
4 - 0
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ASP
2 - 1
UNI
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 3
MUR
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAV
64%
20%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
UNI
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |