Tercera Division Comunitat Valenciana round 18

Novelda CF vs Orihuela CF analysis

Novelda CF Orihuela CF
37 ELO 32
-16% Tilt -11.4%
13763º General ELO ranking 4407º
1284º Country ELO ranking 128º
ELO win probability
53.1%
Novelda CF
24.7%
Draw
22.2%
Orihuela CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
Novelda CF
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.2%
Win probability
Orihuela CF
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Novelda CF
+178%
+77%
Orihuela CF

ELO progression

Novelda CF
Orihuela CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Novelda CF
Novelda CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2016
VIL
Villarreal C
1 - 0
Novelda CF
NOV
59%
21%
20%
37 38 1 0
20 Nov. 2016
NOV
Novelda CF
1 - 0
Almoradí
ALM
79%
15%
6%
37 16 21 0
13 Nov. 2016
BOR
CF Borriol
3 - 1
Novelda CF
NOV
17%
24%
59%
39 24 15 -2
06 Nov. 2016
NOV
Novelda CF
0 - 1
Paterna CF
PAT
72%
18%
10%
40 24 16 -1
30 Oct. 2016
CRE
Crevillente Deportivo
0 - 2
Novelda CF
NOV
22%
26%
52%
39 30 9 +1

Matches

Orihuela CF
Orihuela CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2016
ORI
Orihuela CF
1 - 1
Lorca Deportiva
LOR
37%
24%
40%
33 35 2 0
19 Nov. 2016
RAY
Rayo Ibense
1 - 0
Orihuela CF
ORI
31%
27%
43%
34 27 7 -1
13 Nov. 2016
ORI
Orihuela CF
0 - 1
Olimpic Xátiva
OLI
24%
28%
49%
35 47 12 -1
06 Nov. 2016
ORI
Orihuela CF
5 - 0
Segorbe
SEG
79%
14%
7%
35 19 16 0
30 Oct. 2016
VIL
Villarreal C
2 - 2
Orihuela CF
ORI
67%
18%
15%
34 37 3 +1