Novara Sub 19 vs Modena Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 2
SAM
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SAS
3 - 3
NOV
30%
25%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRO
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
NOV
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 3
PAR
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Modena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 0
JUV
13%
20%
67%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 1
TOR
25%
25%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 1
MOD
29%
26%
45%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 0
GEN
16%
23%
61%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +4 |