Novara vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 1
NOV
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
ACM
4 - 2
NOV
84%
11%
6%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
NOV
6 - 2
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
SAM
1 - 1
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1956 |
JUV
3 - 1
PRO
77%
15%
9%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
PRO
1 - 2
LAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
PRO
2 - 0
SAM
30%
25%
44%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
VIC
1 - 1
PRO
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
ACM
3 - 3
PRO
81%
12%
8%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | +1 |