Novara vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRO
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
MAN
1 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FCC
3 - 0
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 2
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
LEC
2 - 1
MOD
65%
23%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
MOD
4 - 0
USA
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 2
PIS
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
POT
1 - 1
MOD
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |