Serie C Playoffs Descenso Final
Global 5-2
Novara vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 3
NOV
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
FIO
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 2
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
LEG
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
NOV
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 3
NOV
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
FIO
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
PAD
12%
22%
66%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UAR
3 - 0
FIO
51%
27%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
USA
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |