Novara vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
ROM
5 - 3
NOV
64%
20%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
NOV
2 - 4
INT
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1955 |
UDI
1 - 0
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
NOV
0 - 1
TOR
47%
23%
29%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
CAT
0 - 1
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
FIO
4 - 1
TRI
58%
22%
19%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
INT
3 - 5
FIO
74%
15%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1955 |
TOR
0 - 1
FIO
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
FIO
0 - 2
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |