Novara vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
TAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
VNZ
4 - 0
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
CAG
0 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
COM
3 - 0
SSS
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
3 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
COM
3 - 0
CAG
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
FCC
1 - 1
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
COM
1 - 1
TAR
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |