Novara vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
NOV
2 - 0
SPA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
JUV
2 - 1
NOV
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
ROM
5 - 3
NOV
64%
20%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
NOV
2 - 4
INT
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
BOL
1 - 3
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
CAT
2 - 2
BOL
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
BOL
4 - 1
TOR
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |