Novara vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
ATL
0 - 2
NOV
63%
20%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 2
PRO
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
ASL
2 - 1
NOV
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1950 |
NOV
5 - 2
TOR
22%
23%
56%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
TRI
1 - 0
NOV
58%
22%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
BOL
2 - 1
ROM
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
PRO
3 - 3
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
BOL
2 - 0
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |