Novara vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1937 |
NOV
1 - 0
GEN
41%
23%
36%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
FIO
1 - 0
NOV
66%
19%
16%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACM
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
NOV
2 - 1
TRI
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 1
NAP
68%
17%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |