Novara vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 1
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 0
NOV
58%
26%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1974 |
NOV
0 - 0
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
NOV
57%
27%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 1
COM
54%
30%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
ACM
2 - 1
ATL
85%
12%
4%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 2
ATL
36%
34%
30%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 0
AVE
52%
28%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
ATL
44%
32%
24%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |