Novara vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
53%
28%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 1
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
PES
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
NOV
2 - 1
AVE
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
2 - 2
NOV
55%
28%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
REG
2 - 3
PAL
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 0
REG
52%
30%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
REG
1 - 3
VAR
40%
28%
31%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
REG
51%
30%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
REG
1 - 0
GEN
44%
29%
27%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |