Novara vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 1
NOV
32%
28%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
USC
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ACL
0 - 1
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 3
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 2
SPA
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 3
ACL
57%
24%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VER
2 - 1
ASS
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 0
RAV
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
USC
2 - 0
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |