Novara vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 3
ACP
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CES
3 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
NOV
0 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 1
NOV
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NOV
3 - 2
ARZ
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MAN
0 - 0
USC
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
USC
2 - 0
MAN
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 1
BRE
54%
29%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -4 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
CES
2 - 1
MAN
58%
27%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 0
ARZ
55%
28%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |