Carioca 1 Ronda Preliminar round 5

Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ analysis

Nova Iguaçu América RJ
46 ELO 46
-11.1% Tilt -1.5%
2303º General ELO ranking 4805º
71º Country ELO ranking 167º
ELO win probability
32.6%
Nova Iguaçu
26.6%
Draw
40.8%
América RJ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
Nova Iguaçu
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.8%
Win probability
América RJ
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nova Iguaçu
+64%
+10%
América RJ

ELO progression

Nova Iguaçu
América RJ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2020
POR
Portuguesa RJ
3 - 2
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
39%
27%
34%
45 46 1 0
04 Jan. 2020
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 2
Americano
AME
46%
26%
28%
46 44 2 -1
29 Dec. 2019
MAC
Macaé Esporte
2 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
38%
25%
37%
47 43 4 -1
22 Dec. 2019
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
2 - 0
Friburguense
FRI
40%
26%
34%
46 46 0 +1
23 Feb. 2019
MAC
Macaé Esporte
0 - 4
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
50%
24%
26%
44 46 2 +2

Matches

América RJ
América RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2020
FRI
Friburguense
0 - 0
América RJ
AME
33%
26%
41%
48 43 5 0
04 Jan. 2020
AME
América RJ
1 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
54%
24%
22%
48 46 2 0
28 Dec. 2019
AME
Americano
0 - 0
América RJ
AME
36%
25%
39%
48 43 5 0
22 Dec. 2019
AME
América RJ
3 - 1
Macaé Esporte
MAC
56%
23%
21%
48 44 4 0
12 Oct. 2019
AME
América RJ
1 - 2
Friburguense
FRI
54%
23%
22%
48 45 3 0