Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-7
Nova Iguaçu vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
61.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
NOV
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
AUD
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
5 - 2
NME
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
4 - 0
MAD
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BOA
1 - 0
NOV
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 0
AMF
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
AMF
4 - 1
PEÑ
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 3
ATM
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
CRZ
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAN
80%
15%
5%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |