League One round 3

Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers analysis

Notts County Tranmere Rovers
60 ELO 58
-5.5% Tilt -0.4%
2085º General ELO ranking 3522º
65º Country ELO ranking 126º
ELO win probability
50.2%
Notts County
26.6%
Draw
23.2%
Tranmere Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
Notts County
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23.2%
Win probability
Tranmere Rovers
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Notts County
+5%
-22%
Tranmere Rovers

ELO progression

Notts County
Tranmere Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Notts County
Notts County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2011
NOT
Notts County
1 - 2
Charlton Athletic
CHA
42%
27%
31%
60 62 2 0
09 Aug. 2011
NTT
Nottingham Forest
3 - 3
Notts County
NOT
68%
19%
13%
60 72 12 0
06 Aug. 2011
CUM
Carlisle United
0 - 3
Notts County
NOT
55%
24%
21%
59 60 1 +1
07 May. 2011
NOT
Notts County
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
28%
29%
44%
59 71 12 0
30 Apr. 2011
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
2 - 1
Notts County
NOT
58%
23%
19%
59 64 5 0

Matches

Tranmere Rovers
Tranmere Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2011
LEY
Leyton Orient
0 - 1
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
62%
22%
15%
58 64 6 0
09 Aug. 2011
DON
Doncaster Rovers
3 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
51%
25%
25%
59 62 3 -1
06 Aug. 2011
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
1 - 0
Chesterfield
CHE
41%
28%
31%
59 62 3 0
07 May. 2011
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
0 - 2
Swindon Town
SWI
55%
24%
21%
60 55 5 -1
30 Apr. 2011
LEY
Leyton Orient
0 - 3
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
64%
22%
14%
58 66 8 +2