Notts County vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
0 - 1
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
NOT
1 - 1
NTT
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
BBU
1 - 1
NOT
64%
20%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1910 |
NOT
2 - 3
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1910 |
NOT
2 - 3
EVE
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
EVE
2 - 0
PNE
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
MID
1 - 0
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
EVE
2 - 0
TOT
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
BRA
2 - 0
EVE
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1910 |
EVE
3 - 3
MUD
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |