EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-2
Notts County vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
HUL
0 - 3
NOT
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
DAR
1 - 1
NOT
66%
21%
14%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 0
NOT
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
NOT
1 - 1
BUR
36%
28%
37%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
BRO
1 - 0
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
EXE
1 - 0
DAR
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
DAR
1 - 1
NOT
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
DAR
2 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
MAN
2 - 1
DAR
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
DAR
1 - 2
HAR
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |