Notts County vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 1
HUR
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
SHE
2 - 0
NOT
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
WHU
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 4
BIR
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
TOT
0 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 1
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |