Notts County vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
MUD
2 - 0
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1912 |
NOT
2 - 2
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
PNE
2 - 1
NOT
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1912 |
NOT
2 - 0
BCF
69%
17%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
MID
1 - 2
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
ASV
5 - 2
BCF
89%
8%
4%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1912 |
SHW
3 - 0
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
ASV
0 - 3
BBU
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
SUN
2 - 2
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |