Nottingham Forest vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
NTT
0 - 1
SWA
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BOU
2 - 0
NTT
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
NTT
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NTT
2 - 0
WYC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
NTT
2 - 1
COV
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
WAT
4 - 1
PNE
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 0
WAT
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
QPR
1 - 1
WAT
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
WAT
3 - 2
COV
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
WAT
3 - 2
STO
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |